James Paxton
35-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
2-0
ERA
2.81
WHIP
1.50
K
10
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Paxton was limited to just six starts from 2020-22 due to mostly arm-related injuries, so the fact that he was able to take the ball 19 times in 2023 was a minor miracle. He had stretches where he was extremely effective, particularly during the first half when he managed a 2.73 ERA and 64:14 K:BB across 56 innings of work. Paxton stumbled to a 6.98 ERA after the All-Star break, though, and allowed 17 runs over his final three outings before being shut down in early September with a knee problem. Now 35, Paxton is among the poorest health bets in the game, but the left-hander still throws hard and has two effective secondary pitches in his curveball and cutter. He signed with the Dodgers on a one-year, $11 million deal in free agency, and that landing spot makes Paxton an attractive option to round out a fantasy pitching staff for as long as his body holds up. Read Past Outlooks
Struggles with command Sunday
Paxton did not factor into the decision Sunday against the Padres, allowing three runs on three hits and eight walks while striking out one over five innings.
ANALYSIS
The fact that Paxton only managed to give up three runs while issuing a career-high eight walks is impressive in its own way. He issued at least one walk in every inning but managed to pitch himself out of trouble for the most part. He did allow a solo home run to Manny Machado to begin the fourth and later came back out for the sixth where he walked the first two batters before being replaced by Ryan Brasier, who would allow both inherited runners to score. Through three starts, Paxton owns a respectable 2.81 ERA but that also comes with a concerning 1.50 WHIP and 10:14 K:BB in 16 innings. He'll look to be more effective his next time out, which currently projects to be against the Mets next weekend.
The fact that Paxton only managed to give up three runs while issuing a career-high eight walks is impressive in its own way. He issued at least one walk in every inning but managed to pitch himself out of trouble for the most part. He did allow a solo home run to Manny Machado to begin the fourth and later came back out for the sixth where he walked the first two batters before being replaced by Ryan Brasier, who would allow both inherited runners to score. Through three starts, Paxton owns a respectable 2.81 ERA but that also comes with a concerning 1.50 WHIP and 10:14 K:BB in 16 innings. He'll look to be more effective his next time out, which currently projects to be against the Mets next weekend.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
93
Last 5 Games
93
How many pitches does James Paxton generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does James Paxton generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-22%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-53%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .293 | 18 | 11 | 27 | 3 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .228 | 93 | 36 | 76 | 17 | |||
2024vs Left | .333 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | .156 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 2 | |||
2023vs Left | .289 | 16 | 10 | 24 | 3 | |||
2023vs Right | .239 | 85 | 23 | 69 | 15 | |||
2022vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2022vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-42%
ERA at Home
2024
-10%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.08 | 1.37 | 52.2 | 9.4 | 4.3 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 5.31 | 1.31 | 59.1 | 8.5 | 3.3 | ||||
2024Home | 2.70 | 2.00 | 10.0 | 5.4 | 11.7 | ||||
2024Away | 3.00 | 0.67 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.5 | ||||
2023Home | 3.16 | 1.22 | 42.2 | 10.3 | 2.5 | ||||
2023Away | 5.57 | 1.39 | 53.1 | 8.8 | 3.5 | ||||
2022Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does James Paxton compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
0.71K/9
5.6BB/9
7.9HR/9
1.1Fastball
93.5 mphERA
2.81WHIP
1.50BABIP
.186GB/FB
1.33Left On Base
89.6%Swinging Strike
9.4%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Eyed by Orioles
The Orioles have displayed interest in Paxton, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
Baltimore's best shot to land a frontline starter looks to be via the trade route, but it's still considering lower-end free agents like Paxton. The big left-hander had a great first half in 2023 with a 2.73 ERA but stumbled to a 6.98 ERA after the break. He also remains one of the most brittle pitchers in the game. However, on what is sure to be a relatively modest contract, Paxton's upside might be worth the risk.
Baltimore's best shot to land a frontline starter looks to be via the trade route, but it's still considering lower-end free agents like Paxton. The big left-hander had a great first half in 2023 with a 2.73 ERA but stumbled to a 6.98 ERA after the break. He also remains one of the most brittle pitchers in the game. However, on what is sure to be a relatively modest contract, Paxton's upside might be worth the risk.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Paxton spent most of 2022 rehabbing from Tommy John surgery, and he suffered a lat strain in August after just one minor-league rehab outing. The left-hander has thrown just 21.2 innings across the past three seasons, but he'll be back with the Red Sox for 2023 after he exercised his $4 million player option. He's likely to have some serious workload restrictions given his limited action over the last few years. Paxton pitched well for the Yankees back in 2019 with a 3.82 ERA across 150.2 innings, but it's unclear if he'll be able to rediscover that form while entering his age-34 season.
More Fantasy News
Impresses against Twins
Paxton (2-0) picked up the win Monday, allowing two runs on three hits and a walk over six innings against Minnesota. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up victory in Dodgers debut
Paxton (1-0) earned the win over San Francisco on Monday, pitching five shutout innings during which he allowed four hits and five walks while striking out five batters.
ANALYSIS
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Ready for season debut
Paxton is scheduled to start Monday's series opener versus the Giants at Dodger Stadium.
ANALYSIS
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Won't travel to Korea with team
Paxton isn't expected to join the Dodgers for their season-opening two-game set against the Padres in South Korea on March 20 and 21, though he's physically fine, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Set for spring debut Thursday
Paxton will make his Cactus League debut Thursday against the Reds, Eric Stephen of SBNation.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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