MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Jeremy HellicksonJulio TeheranBraves1021061169881981:05 PM
    Rich HillJohn GantCardinals911029710082958.51201:05 PM
    Michael FulmerMike ClevingerIndians11411411010298948.0-2503:10 PM
    Corey OswaltRick PorcelloRed Sox1141127810910599
    Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Jeremy HellicksonJulio TeheranBraves1021061169881981:05 PM
    Rich HillJohn GantCardinals911029710082958.51201:05 PM
    Michael FulmerMike ClevingerIndians11411411010298948.0-2503:10 PM
    Corey OswaltRick PorcelloRed Sox11411278109105994:05 PM
    Cody ReedJon LesterCubs989988981141004:05 PM
    Sean Reid-FoleyCC SabathiaYankees1039514299123929.0-2354:05 PM
    Liam HendriksRyne StanekRays92959794901106:10 PM
    Reynaldo LopezYefry RamirezOrioles106103114101121949.01107:05 PM
    Elieser HernandezVince VelasquezPhillies9895120971241097:05 PM
    Zack GodleyCharlie MortonAstros8393109941091018.0-1907:10 PM
    Ivan NovaZach DaviesBrewers105103131961081038.5-1707:10 PM
    Chase De JongIan KennedyRoyals1031028510276949.0-1207:15 PM
    Ariel JuradoEric LauerPadres92978597971038.5-1508:40 PM
    German MarquezMadison BumgarnerGiants90975310074997.01259:05 PM
    Erasmo RamirezAndrew HeaneyAngels919691961021098.5-1459:07 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Madison Bumgarner (L)v COL222.721.36.514.81.213.311.16$9,200$8,20010121.6
    Mike Clevinger (R)v DET304.026.49.616.80.953.141.21$11,200$10,4008222.9
    Zach Davies (R)v PIT244.315.77.18.61.034.091.36$6,600$6,8009819.0
    Chase De Jong (R)at KC 32.312.812.10.71.395.571.52$7,000$6,2009221.5
    Michael Fulmer (R)at CLE297.018.27.011.20.914.151.22$7,300$6,40010819.0
    John Gant (R)v LAD120.019.211.37.90.823.371.26$7,600$7,60011622.0
    Zack Godley (R)at HOU318.725.29.116.00.854.041.27$8,400$7,80010619.2
    Andrew Heaney (L)v SEA186.724.06.317.81.594.341.22$10,400$9,2009419.9
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)at ATL252.315.26.38.91.644.781.20$6,500$6,1009921.1
    Liam Hendriks (R)at TB 80.726.99.117.71.124.571.35$5,200$5,50010722.6
    Elieser Hernandez (R)at PHI61.716.29.46.81.465.251.44$4,600$5,50010024.5
    Rich Hill (L)at STL249.328.58.320.21.303.571.14$9,300$8,50010422.1
    Ariel Jurado (R)at SD 39.77.98.4-0.61.367.031.66$5,100$5,5008725.2
    Ian Kennedy (R)v MIN254.720.58.911.51.845.201.36$6,200$6,6009422.0
    Eric Lauer (L)v TEX95.719.59.79.91.224.801.62$6,500$6,7009422.7
    Jon Lester (L)v CIN344.321.58.113.41.283.971.33$9,400$8,60010721.4
    Reynaldo Lopez (R)at BAL216.317.58.98.51.294.331.31$7,500$8,4008425.2
    German Marquez (R)at SF 333.324.17.216.91.244.161.30$12,000$10,6008423.9
    Charlie Morton (R)v ARI303.727.58.918.70.923.381.20$9,800$7,4008723.2
    Ivan Nova (R)at MIL333.716.84.712.11.434.151.27$6,900$7,50010323.7
    Corey Oswalt (R)at BOS53.014.86.18.72.216.621.36$6,400$5,50011718.3
    Rick Porcello (R)v NYM382.722.15.616.51.514.471.29$10,500$8,8009722.1
    Erasmo Ramirez (R)at LAA170.319.45.613.81.694.601.22$5,400$6,50011420.5
    Yefry Ramirez (R)v CWS50.021.012.78.31.265.941.56$5,600$5,5509625.6
    Cody Reed (L)at CHC46.019.914.65.31.575.091.59$5,600$5,9009522.1
    Sean Reid-Foley (R)at NYY21.023.212.610.52.576.861.62$6,100$6,00010722.1
    CC Sabathia (L)v TOR288.320.28.012.21.153.621.29$8,700$7,3008621.1
    Ryne Stanek (R)v OAK79.330.111.618.51.363.401.29$4,300$5,50011221.7
    Julio Teheran (R)v WAS347.720.29.910.31.424.251.27$8,200$8,00010120.0
    Vince Velasquez (R)v MIA210.024.59.914.61.294.591.35$8,200$6,4008022.7

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Madison Bumgarner (L)v COL29.15.423.70.540.24323.56.417.01.250.293
    Mike Clevinger (R)v DET23.110.712.51.100.31727.39.517.70.920.290
    Zach Davies (R)v PIT17.78.39.41.120.33417.04.812.30.990.310
    Chase De Jong (R)at KC 9.79.70.01.350.37111.111.10.01.800.341
    Michael Fulmer (R)at CLE18.17.310.80.960.30119.86.213.60.880.290
    John Gant (R)v LAD19.212.46.91.300.31920.69.411.20.670.296
    Zack Godley (R)at HOU23.010.512.50.780.31924.67.217.41.190.308
    Andrew Heaney (L)v SEA24.13.420.70.210.25623.17.016.12.150.349
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)at ATL16.27.98.31.470.32318.14.413.81.390.309
    Liam Hendriks (R)at TB 29.18.120.91.110.28325.06.818.20.950.320
    Elieser Hernandez (R)at PHI13.312.60.71.530.38319.05.813.21.480.312
    Rich Hill (L)at STL20.510.210.21.140.31231.37.623.70.950.271
    Ariel Jurado (R)at SD 8.211.0-2.71.800.4298.25.23.11.130.307
    Ian Kennedy (R)v MIN20.59.211.31.660.32722.07.814.21.780.333
    Eric Lauer (L)v TEX10.48.32.11.330.36920.79.611.11.260.360
    Jon Lester (L)v CIN27.55.522.10.990.27621.28.213.11.220.310
    Reynaldo Lopez (R)at BAL16.310.36.01.520.31718.88.110.70.940.336
    German Marquez (R)at SF 18.78.010.60.950.33827.96.321.61.530.318
    Charlie Morton (R)v ARI34.110.124.00.920.29022.28.114.20.850.306
    Ivan Nova (R)at MIL12.44.38.11.590.35921.24.716.51.250.310
    Corey Oswalt (R)at BOS9.57.42.11.590.32617.65.012.62.630.371
    Rick Porcello (R)v NYM22.65.617.01.280.30921.04.216.71.270.309
    Erasmo Ramirez (R)at LAA18.08.39.72.190.37018.84.414.41.260.291
    Yefry Ramirez (R)v CWS20.420.40.00.820.37620.43.916.51.820.333
    Cody Reed (L)at CHC19.28.710.60.770.30119.011.97.12.310.402
    Sean Reid-Foley (R)at NYY27.018.98.12.160.31525.70.025.72.250.403
    CC Sabathia (L)v TOR23.810.813.00.940.29919.17.611.61.190.315
    Ryne Stanek (R)v OAK36.58.727.80.000.22526.711.814.92.350.360
    Julio Teheran (R)v WAS16.812.54.31.420.33124.74.020.71.210.278
    Vince Velasquez (R)v MIA24.310.513.91.490.34927.18.219.01.190.307

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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